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March saw the release of the eagerly awaited Intergenerational Report 2015 (IGR) projecting how demography will impact Commonwealth finances over the next 40 years. Australia was one of the first nations to produce an official government Intergenerational Report, in 2002.
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Now, about two-thirds of OECD countries produce long-term fiscal projections covering a time span of 30+ years. Most governments conduct the exercise as part of standard budgeting practice, but a handful, including Germany and the United Kingdom, have formally ceded the responsibility to independent bodies. In addition, the European Commission produces such projections for its member countries using a consistent approach. more
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CEPAR Research: projects, people, presentations and publications
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CEPAR People
CEPAR's network continues to grow with the appointment of two Associate Investigators.
Craig Blackburn (below left) recently completed a post-doctoral Research Fellowship at CEPAR, performing extensive research on longevity risk models, and developing a relatively new approach-based financial modelling technique while completing his PhD. He has joined Challenger, Australia’s largest annuity provider.
Ross Andel (below right) is an Associate Professor at the School of Aging Studies, University of South Florida; a Member of the American Association for the Advancement of Science (AAAS); and a Fellow of the Gerontological Society of America.
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Presentations
The fourth annual ANU-DPU Conference with CEPAR, at Dhurakij Pundit University, Bangkok featured presentations from CEPAR researchers:
Director John Piggott (Population Ageing and Social Security in Asia), Chief Investigator Peter McDonald (Migration Policy in Australia), Research Fellow Lu Bei (Long term care in China and its policy implication) and Associate Investigator Erik Hernaes (Pension Reform and Labor Supply - Flexibility vs Prescription).
Research Fellow Elena Capatina was at GRIPS (Graduate Institute for Policy Studies) in Japan to present on her project Investment in health and human capital over the life-cycle.
Publications
The CEPAR website has three new working papers.
The five main causes of death in the US, Japan, France, England/Wales and Australia are analysed by Severine Arnold and Mike Sherris.
Adam Shao, Michael Sherris and Joelle Fong present a comprehensive assessment of premiums, reserves and solvency capital requirements for long-term care (LTC) insurance policies
A paper by George Kudrna, Chung Tran and Alan Woodland summarises the results of a model to study the dynamic fiscal effects of demographic shift in Australia.
CEPAR PhD student Kimberly Ashby-Mitchell is lead author of Role of Dietary Pattern Analysis in Determining Cognitive Status in Elderly Australian Adults, published in Nutrients.
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RADAR - a new national population database available in April. more |
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Our 2014 annual report is now available for download from the CEPAR website.
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8 April - register now!
Interpreting the Intergenerational Report
Public Forum
8 April 2015
Shine Dome, Canberra
Registration essential
2015 Diary
23rd Annual Colloquium of Superannuation Researchers
6 - 7 July 2015
Call for Papers
IAGG Master Class:
Population Ageing and the Challenges of Integrating Paid Work and Family Care Work
Dublin, 22 - 26 April 2015 more
The Summer School On Longitudinal and Life Course Research
Leibniz Institute for Educational Trajectories, University of Bamberg
31 August - 4 September 2015 more
CESifo Conference
Pension Taxation, Population Ageing, and Globalisation
3 - 4 September 2015 more
APRU Symposium
20 - 23 September 2015
Details tbc
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