Climate forecasters say La Niña has ended and ENSO neutral conditions are expected through early summer.
Furthermore, El Niño conditions are possible by mid-summer or the height of the hurricane season. This development could be a major factor in our hurricane season outlook for the 2023 season. You can check out the latest forecast plume here.
El Niño conditions are present when the equatorial east Pacific Ocean has warmer than normal temperatures and higher moisture content.
This creates weaker trade winds which in turn can create higher than normal wind shear in the Atlantic Basin and, more notably, the Caribbean Sea.